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Red390
1519185.3
131173.3
172116.1
Blue227
509149.5
3467122.6
4905151.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3782450100200300500600700800390227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
#20
185.31.5
188.0186.4
Auto21.0
Teleop145.2
End17.7
red by 33.5
151.81.1
154.2153.1
Auto18.2
Teleop113.0
End19.1
Second
131
#2
173.31.4
168.7170.1
Auto17.3
Teleop139.5
End19.5
red by 23.7
509
#21
149.50.8
150.5149.7
Auto17.3
Teleop107.6
End23.4
Third
172
#8
116.10.7
116.8116.1
Auto15.9
Teleop92.5
End6.7
blue by 6.6
3467
#22
122.60.7
123.9123.3
Auto15.9
Teleop97.1
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsEarned