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Red235
6763162.5
78176.7
166131.1
Blue429
1922121.3
6328167.0
125204.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3063760100200500600235429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#9
176.70.1
177.2177.1
Auto21.2
Teleop128.0
End26.1
blue by 27.3
125
#3
204.00.3
203.7203.5
Auto23.7
Teleop163.0
End15.8
Second
6763
#25
162.50.5
164.3163.8
Auto17.9
Teleop126.4
End16.5
blue by 4.4
167.01.5
161.3162.8
Auto22.0
Teleop122.8
End23.6
Third
166
#14
131.11.4
129.2130.7
Auto17.4
Teleop100.3
End13.4
red by 9.8
121.31.2
116.6117.8
Auto17.7
Teleop87.3
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed