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Red450
5599130.2
806125.5
25212.0
Blue197
555119.1
2458111.5
341180.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3603070200400600800450197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#9
212.00.5
214.1213.6
Auto24.0
Teleop171.4
End13.4
red by 31.6
341
#21
180.31.5
182.7184.3
Auto21.1
Teleop137.0
End16.2
Second
130.20.5
123.0123.5
Auto15.6
Teleop103.8
End12.1
red by 11.1
555
#40
119.11.1
121.3122.3
Auto17.8
Teleop81.0
End19.0
Third
806
#14
125.51.1
117.6118.7
Auto20.7
Teleop90.0
End16.2
red by 14.0
2458
#38
111.50.4
121.8121.5
Auto18.1
Teleop83.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed87%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed