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Red230
4653160.3
1279146.2
1811127.2
Blue360
4575122.7
6590129.9
747174.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337335250300350400450230360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4653
#16
160.30.9
164.6163.7
Auto19.2
Teleop122.3
End18.3
blue by 14.1
747
#1
174.40.1
168.7168.8
Auto22.3
Teleop133.9
End19.6
Second
1279
#33
146.20.7
150.6151.2
Auto18.2
Teleop109.0
End19.0
red by 16.3
6590
#28
129.90.1
129.6129.7
Auto19.7
Teleop97.5
End8.1
Third
1811
#18
127.20.1
126.7126.6
Auto17.0
Teleop97.8
End13.9
red by 4.5
4575
#26
122.70.1
123.7123.5
Auto17.4
Teleop95.5
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed