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Red244
1626152.2
303187.7
3637154.2
Blue447
225239.4
1089161.8
1989143.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30140502006008001,000244447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#10
187.71.5
191.8190.3
Auto22.1
Teleop134.8
End29.3
blue by 51.7
225
#13
239.42.7
229.0231.7
Auto25.5
Teleop182.2
End32.4
Second
3637
#36
154.20.4
158.5158.1
Auto17.3
Teleop115.5
End19.5
blue by 7.7
161.80.0
154.0153.9
Auto20.9
Teleop121.8
End19.8
Third
1626
#24
152.20.5
157.6157.1
Auto19.9
Teleop117.5
End11.8
red by 9.1
1989
#23
143.10.1
143.5143.4
Auto19.5
Teleop103.4
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsMissed