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Red283
2590223.2
222163.0
2601140.5
Blue430
11132.8
1089161.8
9999134.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4352360600800283430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223.20.0
222.9222.8
Auto21.5
Teleop169.2
End31.8
red by 61.4
161.80.5
153.9154.4
Auto20.9
Teleop121.8
End19.8
Second
222
#32
163.01.5
176.8175.2
Auto21.8
Teleop120.7
End16.2
red by 28.7
134.20.7
125.6126.3
Auto20.2
Teleop104.7
End9.7
Third
2601
#15
140.51.2
145.5144.4
Auto21.8
Teleop101.8
End17.1
red by 7.6
11
#37
132.80.9
128.9129.8
Auto16.6
Teleop101.2
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
61%Face the Boss oddsEarned1%Face the Boss oddsMissed