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Red292
5599130.2
2554117.9
2495127.3
Blue301
1811127.2
4652113.9
219145.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793120100200400500600700292301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
130.21.0
123.5124.5
Auto15.6
Teleop103.8
End12.1
blue by 15.3
219
#27
145.41.0
144.0145.1
Auto21.9
Teleop109.8
End10.7
Second
2495
#39
127.30.3
126.7126.4
Auto15.6
Teleop94.1
End18.7
red by 0.1
1811
#18
127.20.5
126.6126.0
Auto17.0
Teleop97.8
End13.9
Third
2554
#41
117.90.2
118.0117.8
Auto17.2
Teleop83.0
End19.4
red by 4.0
4652
#34
113.90.5
116.0115.6
Auto14.2
Teleop91.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed