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Red343
395150.4
2590223.2
2458111.5
Blue292
4505119.7
225239.4
2554117.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313343200400500600343292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223.20.4
222.8222.4
Auto21.5
Teleop169.2
End31.8
blue by 16.2
225
#13
239.41.1
234.4235.5
Auto25.5
Teleop182.2
End32.4
Second
395
#29
150.40.1
151.3151.2
Auto20.1
Teleop118.6
End10.4
red by 30.7
4505
#43
119.72.0
124.6122.6
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End7.4
Third
2458
#38
111.53.3
119.5116.3
Auto18.1
Teleop83.8
End5.8
blue by 6.4
2554
#41
117.90.4
117.8118.2
Auto17.2
Teleop83.0
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
36%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsMissed