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Red255
555119.1
694210.3
4652113.9
Blue284
271144.9
9986115.3
1811127.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3802350100300500600700800255284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#8
210.30.5
211.4210.9
Auto21.7
Teleop162.8
End23.2
red by 65.4
271
#2
144.90.4
141.2141.6
Auto21.5
Teleop100.3
End25.7
Second
555
#40
119.11.0
121.5120.5
Auto17.8
Teleop81.0
End19.0
blue by 8.1
1811
#18
127.20.4
126.0125.6
Auto17.0
Teleop97.8
End13.9
Third
4652
#34
113.90.3
115.6115.2
Auto14.2
Teleop91.0
End6.8
blue by 1.4
9986
#25
115.30.5
112.4112.9
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed