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Red209
4575122.7
3142136.2
222163.0
Blue402
5421141.6
5599130.2
303187.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3053660200600800209402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#32
163.01.7
175.2173.5
Auto21.8
Teleop120.7
End16.2
blue by 24.7
303
#10
187.71.2
188.7187.5
Auto22.1
Teleop134.8
End29.3
Second
3142
#20
136.20.1
137.2137.1
Auto16.2
Teleop101.3
End15.5
blue by 5.4
5421
#19
141.61.1
135.0136.1
Auto17.4
Teleop112.1
End11.5
Third
4575
#26
122.70.2
123.9123.6
Auto17.4
Teleop95.5
End8.9
blue by 7.5
130.21.4
124.5125.9
Auto15.6
Teleop103.8
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed