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Red464
1089161.8
219145.4
527160.7
Blue171
1279146.2
1257142.1
1989143.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3882870100200500600700464171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.81.7
154.4156.1
Auto20.9
Teleop121.8
End19.8
red by 15.7
1279
#33
146.21.7
151.3149.5
Auto18.2
Teleop109.0
End19.0
Second
527
#22
160.70.1
160.2160.2
Auto19.5
Teleop122.3
End19.4
red by 17.6
1989
#23
143.10.2
143.8144.0
Auto19.5
Teleop103.4
End18.5
Third
219
#27
145.40.9
145.1145.9
Auto21.9
Teleop109.8
End10.7
red by 3.4
1257
#42
142.11.2
146.3145.1
Auto17.5
Teleop108.1
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed