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Red313
1989143.1
533164.6
271144.9
Blue359
395150.4
341180.3
5599130.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308369100200400500600700313359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
#12
164.60.5
165.7165.1
Auto18.0
Teleop121.2
End22.3
blue by 15.7
341
#21
180.30.8
183.2182.4
Auto21.1
Teleop137.0
End16.2
Second
271
#2
144.91.2
141.6142.8
Auto21.5
Teleop100.3
End25.7
blue by 5.5
395
#29
150.40.3
151.2151.5
Auto20.1
Teleop118.6
End10.4
Third
1989
#23
143.10.6
144.0143.4
Auto19.5
Teleop103.4
End18.5
red by 12.9
130.21.7
125.9127.6
Auto15.6
Teleop103.8
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed