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Red407
25212.0
1626152.2
1257142.1
Blue312
2601140.5
4505119.7
4575122.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4222010100300500600700407312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#9
212.00.3
213.8213.5
Auto24.0
Teleop171.4
End13.4
red by 71.5
2601
#15
140.51.4
143.0141.7
Auto21.8
Teleop101.8
End17.1
Second
1626
#24
152.20.9
153.8152.9
Auto19.9
Teleop117.5
End11.8
red by 29.5
4575
#26
122.70.7
123.6122.9
Auto17.4
Teleop95.5
End8.9
Third
1257
#42
142.11.7
145.1143.4
Auto17.5
Teleop108.1
End14.5
red by 22.3
4505
#43
119.71.8
122.6120.8
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed