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Red500
694210.3
1811127.2
1923187.5
Blue151
222163.0
3637154.2
1676159.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3873080100200500600500151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#8
210.31.0
210.9209.8
Auto21.7
Teleop162.8
End23.2
red by 47.3
222
#32
163.01.9
173.5171.6
Auto21.8
Teleop120.7
End16.2
Second
187.50.9
187.4186.5
Auto24.6
Teleop148.7
End13.4
red by 28.4
1676
#35
159.10.4
163.2162.9
Auto16.5
Teleop113.4
End28.3
Third
1811
#18
127.20.5
125.6126.1
Auto17.0
Teleop97.8
End13.9
blue by 27.0
3637
#36
154.20.4
155.9155.5
Auto17.3
Teleop115.5
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed38%Face the Boss oddsMissed