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Red173
219145.4
193125.9
2458111.5
Blue475
747174.4
1923187.5
271144.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2374110100200300500600700173475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#27
145.40.4
147.2146.8
Auto21.9
Teleop109.8
End10.7
blue by 42.1
187.50.1
186.5186.6
Auto24.6
Teleop148.7
End13.4
Second
193
#30
125.90.7
125.2125.9
Auto16.4
Teleop94.7
End12.7
blue by 48.6
747
#1
174.40.9
170.5171.4
Auto22.3
Teleop133.9
End19.6
Third
2458
#38
111.51.2
113.9112.8
Auto18.1
Teleop83.8
End5.8
blue by 33.4
271
#2
144.91.1
142.8143.9
Auto21.5
Teleop100.3
End25.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsMissed95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned