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Red359
806125.5
1989143.1
75154.7
Blue209
1811127.2
4505119.7
5421141.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3542960100200400500600700800359209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#31
154.71.5
156.2154.7
Auto22.4
Teleop116.3
End11.8
red by 13.1
5421
#19
141.62.0
137.7139.7
Auto17.4
Teleop112.1
End11.5
Second
1989
#23
143.10.3
143.4143.1
Auto19.5
Teleop103.4
End18.5
red by 15.9
1811
#18
127.21.1
126.1127.2
Auto17.0
Teleop97.8
End13.9
Third
806
#14
125.51.4
123.6124.9
Auto20.7
Teleop90.0
End16.2
red by 5.8
4505
#43
119.71.1
120.8119.7
Auto15.3
Teleop95.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed1%Face the Boss oddsMissed