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Red367
1089161.8
4575122.7
533164.6
Blue243
2554117.9
1676159.1
9986115.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3732710100200500600700367243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
#12
164.60.3
165.1164.8
Auto18.0
Teleop121.2
End22.3
red by 5.5
1676
#35
159.11.4
162.9161.5
Auto16.5
Teleop113.4
End28.3
Second
161.81.6
158.1159.7
Auto20.9
Teleop121.8
End19.8
red by 43.9
2554
#41
117.90.4
118.3117.9
Auto17.2
Teleop83.0
End19.4
Third
4575
#26
122.70.2
122.9122.7
Auto17.4
Teleop95.5
End8.9
red by 7.4
9986
#25
115.31.3
114.1115.3
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsMissed