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Red392
341180.3
527160.7
2495127.3
Blue237
4653160.3
222163.0
1626152.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344344200250300400450392237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#21
180.30.9
182.4181.5
Auto21.1
Teleop137.0
End16.2
red by 17.3
222
#32
163.02.6
171.6169.0
Auto21.8
Teleop120.7
End16.2
Second
527
#22
160.70.0
160.7160.7
Auto19.5
Teleop122.3
End19.4
red by 0.3
4653
#16
160.30.4
160.3160.7
Auto19.2
Teleop122.3
End18.3
Third
2495
#39
127.30.4
126.9127.3
Auto15.6
Teleop94.1
End18.7
blue by 24.9
1626
#24
152.20.7
152.9152.2
Auto19.9
Teleop117.5
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed