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Red294
1923187.5
1989143.1
6590129.9
Blue282
6911123.1
555119.1
2590223.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338336250300350400450294282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.50.8
188.9188.1
Auto24.6
Teleop148.7
End13.4
blue by 35.7
223.20.3
222.6222.9
Auto21.5
Teleop169.2
End31.8
Second
1989
#23
143.10.4
143.4143.8
Auto19.5
Teleop103.4
End18.5
red by 20.0
6911
#17
123.11.0
119.3120.3
Auto18.4
Teleop95.5
End10.0
Third
6590
#28
129.90.6
129.7130.3
Auto19.7
Teleop97.5
End8.1
red by 10.8
555
#40
119.10.8
122.3121.5
Auto17.8
Teleop81.0
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed59%Face the Boss oddsMissed