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Red455
193125.9
694210.3
806125.5
Blue253
527160.7
4575122.7
395150.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36429702006008001,000455253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#8
210.31.6
213.0211.4
Auto21.7
Teleop162.8
End23.2
red by 49.6
527
#22
160.70.5
159.7160.2
Auto19.5
Teleop122.3
End19.4
Second
193
#30
125.90.8
122.6123.4
Auto16.4
Teleop94.7
End12.7
blue by 24.5
395
#29
150.40.6
150.7151.3
Auto20.1
Teleop118.6
End10.4
Third
806
#14
125.51.4
118.7120.1
Auto20.7
Teleop90.0
End16.2
red by 2.8
4575
#26
122.70.3
123.5123.9
Auto17.4
Teleop95.5
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed