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Red111
5624116.3
4281100.9
714111.9
Blue301
1257150.3
3314153.9
4652115.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2263210100400500600111301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5624
#19
116.37.0
98.9105.9
Auto18.5
Teleop90.4
End5.9
blue by 37.6
153.90.1
159.6159.5
Auto19.2
Teleop114.8
End22.5
Second
714
#29
111.910.3
89.099.3
Auto14.6
Teleop87.4
End10.6
blue by 38.4
150.38.6
112.8121.4
Auto21.8
Teleop110.0
End22.1
Third
4281
#28
100.99.0
86.995.9
Auto14.0
Teleop77.8
End6.4
blue by 14.4
115.31.2
98.099.2
Auto14.4
Teleop92.6
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed