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Red251
334091.3
1672120.2
224131.8
Blue249
686099.0
566693.8
747159.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284258100200400500251249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
224
#27
131.813.1
90.5103.5
Auto18.1
Teleop100.8
End12.0
blue by 27.5
747
#5
159.30.5
144.5145.0
Auto19.6
Teleop122.6
End18.4
Second
1672
#20
120.20.3
118.5118.8
Auto19.0
Teleop92.5
End6.6
red by 21.2
6860
#36
99.01.4
102.8101.4
Auto15.8
Teleop75.9
End8.6
Third
3340
#35
91.37.5
87.595.0
Auto14.8
Teleop66.4
End7.8
blue by 2.5
5666
#32
93.88.1
85.593.6
Auto12.7
Teleop76.2
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed