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Red262
303186.5
219136.0
4035112.6
Blue368
747159.3
1923188.3
4573131.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3313420100200400500600700262368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#3
186.51.2
177.0178.2
Auto26.5
Teleop130.4
End28.5
blue by 1.9
188.31.5
169.6171.0
Auto27.4
Teleop141.9
End22.0
Second
219
#12
136.01.4
134.5136.0
Auto21.6
Teleop105.7
End8.9
blue by 23.3
747
#5
159.31.8
146.5148.3
Auto19.6
Teleop122.6
End18.4
Third
4035
#11
112.62.1
99.6101.6
Auto14.6
Teleop88.3
End11.0
blue by 18.8
4573
#31
131.40.2
128.7129.0
Auto17.2
Teleop97.4
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed