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Red366
2590186.5
6203136.4
3314153.9
Blue165
1257150.3
6943113.2
566693.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4242020100300500600366165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.56.5
155.8162.3
Auto21.9
Teleop131.9
End35.7
red by 36.2
150.35.1
129.9135.0
Auto21.8
Teleop110.0
End22.1
Second
153.91.5
159.6161.1
Auto19.2
Teleop114.8
End22.5
red by 40.8
6943
#25
113.20.2
110.1110.3
Auto14.6
Teleop81.6
End17.4
Third
6203
#18
136.40.1
130.1130.0
Auto12.5
Teleop101.0
End24.5
red by 42.7
5666
#32
93.80.8
101.0100.2
Auto12.7
Teleop76.2
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed