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Red244
4035112.6
4652115.3
3515114.7
Blue241
1676137.6
1989149.4
573285.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286283150200250300350400244241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.32.2
104.6106.8
Auto14.4
Teleop92.6
End10.6
blue by 34.1
1989
#21
149.41.7
141.8143.5
Auto18.3
Teleop110.0
End22.7
Second
3515
#23
114.71.1
104.6105.7
Auto16.2
Teleop82.8
End19.5
blue by 22.9
137.61.9
129.7131.6
Auto17.7
Teleop96.8
End24.8
Third
4035
#11
112.61.8
103.0104.8
Auto14.6
Teleop88.3
End11.0
red by 27.5
5732
#33
85.00.7
86.085.3
Auto13.4
Teleop69.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed