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Red256
6943113.2
6016111.3
2554117.9
Blue205
4573131.4
714111.9
686099.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2313120100200400500600700256205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2554
#22
117.90.2
114.4114.6
Auto17.6
Teleop84.3
End15.7
blue by 13.5
4573
#31
131.42.2
129.6131.8
Auto17.2
Teleop97.4
End16.6
Second
6943
#25
113.20.3
110.4110.7
Auto14.6
Teleop81.6
End17.4
red by 1.3
714
#29DQ
111.90.0
118.4118.4
Auto14.6
Teleop87.4
End10.6
Third
6016
#16
111.31.1
101.0102.1
Auto16.1
Teleop83.6
End13.1
red by 12.3
6860
#36
99.00.1
99.899.7
Auto15.8
Teleop75.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed