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Red302
1811135.2
5624116.3
1257150.3
Blue392
224131.8
7045105.6
56181.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307320100200400500600302392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.32.5
140.7143.1
Auto21.8
Teleop110.0
End22.1
blue by 31.5
56
#4
181.84.6
159.3163.9
Auto24.5
Teleop130.4
End26.7
Second
1811
#24
135.22.4
132.5134.9
Auto14.6
Teleop104.4
End13.6
red by 3.4
224
#27
131.81.1
130.7131.8
Auto18.1
Teleop100.8
End12.0
Third
5624
#19
116.30.7
114.9115.6
Auto18.5
Teleop90.4
End5.9
red by 10.7
7045
#30
105.60.3
106.4106.7
Auto16.7
Teleop77.9
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed