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Red228
566693.8
1989149.4
5992122.1
Blue392
3515114.7
2590186.5
102130.7
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236359100200300400500600228392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1989
#21
149.41.2
143.5144.7
Auto18.3
Teleop110.0
End22.7
blue by 37.1
186.52.5
169.1171.6
Auto21.9
Teleop131.9
End35.7
Second
5992
#17
122.13.4
113.3116.7
Auto15.1
Teleop89.5
End19.0
blue by 8.6
102
#14
130.71.2
127.5128.7
Auto16.9
Teleop98.5
End16.9
Third
5666
#32
93.81.4
95.994.5
Auto12.7
Teleop76.2
End6.5
blue by 20.9
3515
#23
114.71.1
105.7106.8
Auto16.2
Teleop82.8
End19.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned