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Red166
2607168.8
566693.8
5624116.3
Blue201
714111.9
75134.0
4035112.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3532300100200300400500600166201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#10
168.82.3
158.3160.6
Auto19.6
Teleop124.0
End26.4
red by 34.9
75
#15
134.013.2
100.7113.8
Auto14.8
Teleop100.0
End23.9
Second
5624
#19
116.315.0
83.998.9
Auto18.5
Teleop90.4
End5.9
red by 3.8
4035
#11
112.60.6
96.397.0
Auto14.6
Teleop88.3
End11.0
Third
5666
#32
93.816.6
68.885.5
Auto12.7
Teleop76.2
End6.5
blue by 18.1
714
#29
111.916.2
72.889.0
Auto14.6
Teleop87.4
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed