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Red344
4281100.9
3314153.9
747159.3
Blue175
686099.0
334091.3
6897112.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3832020100300500600344175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
747
#5
159.31.5
143.0144.5
Auto19.6
Teleop122.6
End18.4
red by 46.4
6897
#13
112.936.0
113.777.7
Auto17.0
Teleop83.2
End11.2
Second
153.90.7
158.8159.6
Auto19.2
Teleop114.8
End22.5
red by 55.0
6860
#36
99.00.2
103.0102.8
Auto15.8
Teleop75.9
End8.6
Third
4281
#28
100.916.5
70.486.9
Auto14.0
Teleop77.8
End6.4
red by 9.6
3340
#35
91.316.4
71.187.5
Auto14.8
Teleop66.4
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed