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Red353
7110139.9
4342169.0
484133.1
Blue355
87102.5
2539148.5
708171.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348354150200250300400450500550353355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#25
169.00.0
169.0169.0
Auto23.4
Teleop113.4
End34.3
blue by 3.0
708
#10
171.90.0
171.9171.9
Auto20.2
Teleop126.7
End25.6
Second
7110
#22
139.90.0
139.9139.9
Auto17.7
Teleop103.1
End17.9
blue by 8.5
148.50.0
148.5148.5
Auto18.5
Teleop106.8
End26.7
Third
484
#8
133.10.0
133.1133.1
Auto18.5
Teleop103.0
End10.4
red by 30.6
87
#26
102.50.0
102.5102.5
Auto15.2
Teleop74.4
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest odds55%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss odds25%Face the Boss odds