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Red247
303191.8
2729146.5
1089154.0
Blue458
271138.4
1218179.2
816124.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40832702006008001,0001,200247458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#15
191.80.0
191.8191.8
Auto22.6
Teleop137.4
End30.5
red by 12.6
179.20.0
179.2179.2
Auto19.8
Teleop131.0
End30.0
Second
1089
#24
154.00.0
154.0154.0
Auto20.0
Teleop117.9
End18.0
red by 15.6
271
#6
138.40.0
138.4138.4
Auto19.3
Teleop96.3
End24.4
Third
2729
#18
146.50.0
146.5146.5
Auto25.0
Teleop99.6
End23.6
red by 21.5
816
#13
124.90.0
124.9124.9
Auto17.6
Teleop83.2
End23.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest odds63%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss odds25%Face the Boss odds