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Red345
533165.1
303191.8
6226127.7
Blue370
694212.8
7110139.9
365192.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3024270200600800345370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#15
191.80.0
191.8191.8
Auto22.6
Teleop137.4
End30.5
blue by 21.0
694
#17
212.80.0
212.8212.8
Auto22.0
Teleop163.8
End27.9
Second
533
#9
165.10.0
165.1165.1
Auto17.7
Teleop122.3
End29.7
blue by 27.1
365
#5
192.30.0
192.3192.3
Auto23.4
Teleop142.9
End23.7
Third
6226
#14
127.70.0
127.7127.7
Auto16.5
Teleop91.3
End22.5
blue by 12.3
7110
#22
139.90.0
139.9139.9
Auto17.7
Teleop103.1
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest odds94%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
58%Face the Boss odds17%Face the Boss odds