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Red350
203142.7
1089154.0
225229.0
Blue213
5420161.1
87102.5
1370111.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45616804006008001,000350213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
229.00.0
229.0229.0
Auto24.7
Teleop174.0
End34.2
red by 67.9
5420
#16
161.10.0
161.1161.1
Auto18.9
Teleop120.8
End22.4
Second
1089
#24
154.00.0
154.0154.0
Auto20.0
Teleop117.9
End18.0
red by 42.5
1370
#23
111.50.0
111.5111.5
Auto19.0
Teleop79.3
End11.6
Third
203
#7
142.70.0
142.7142.7
Auto15.3
Teleop112.8
End12.7
red by 40.2
87
#26
102.50.0
102.5102.5
Auto15.2
Teleop74.4
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest odds58%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
23%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds