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Red373
271138.4
316182.3
694212.8
Blue377
708171.9
1626157.6
225229.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32441102006008001,0001,200373377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#17
212.80.0
212.8212.8
Auto22.0
Teleop163.8
End27.9
blue by 16.2
225
#1
229.00.0
229.0229.0
Auto24.7
Teleop174.0
End34.2
Second
316
#27
182.30.0
182.3182.3
Auto17.5
Teleop139.9
End25.6
red by 10.3
708
#10
171.90.0
171.9171.9
Auto20.2
Teleop126.7
End25.6
Third
271
#6
138.40.0
138.4138.4
Auto19.3
Teleop96.3
End24.4
blue by 19.2
1626
#12
157.60.0
157.6157.6
Auto20.2
Teleop118.6
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest odds87%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss odds42%Face the Boss odds