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Red398
1218179.2
1640191.0
2539148.5
Blue286
5420161.1
365192.3
384178.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35737402006008001,000398286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191.00.0
191.0191.0
Auto22.0
Teleop143.8
End23.9
blue by 1.3
365
#5
192.30.0
192.3192.3
Auto23.4
Teleop142.9
End23.7
Second
179.20.0
179.2179.2
Auto19.8
Teleop131.0
End30.0
red by 0.8
384
#11
178.40.0
178.4178.4
Auto20.0
Teleop137.2
End20.4
Third
148.50.0
148.5148.5
Auto18.5
Teleop106.8
End26.7
blue by 12.6
5420
#16
161.10.0
161.1161.1
Auto18.9
Teleop120.8
End22.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest odds91%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
73%Face the Boss odds23%Face the Boss odds