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Red364
25185.4
303175.6
6203132.8
Blue265
41121.6
4653141.6
193135.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4162530100200300500600700364265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
185.40.3
183.6184.0
Auto25.5
Teleop144.5
End12.2
red by 43.8
4653
#13
141.60.6
140.5141.1
Auto16.3
Teleop112.9
End13.1
Second
303
#1
175.60.2
174.6174.8
Auto25.7
Teleop122.8
End28.1
red by 39.9
193
#16
135.70.0
135.8135.8
Auto16.5
Teleop105.4
End14.8
Third
6203
#26
132.80.6
129.9130.5
Auto13.0
Teleop100.2
End22.4
red by 11.3
41
#29
121.60.3
122.1121.9
Auto17.1
Teleop96.0
End7.7