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Red220
2554115.5
1923165.3
219134.1
Blue392
3637150.0
223148.4
3142121.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301337100200400500600220392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.31.8
162.2164.0
Auto25.2
Teleop120.2
End18.6
red by 15.2
3637
#15
150.01.3
147.6148.9
Auto18.4
Teleop113.2
End20.9
Second
219
#10
134.10.4
134.1134.5
Auto19.3
Teleop104.7
End4.3
blue by 14.3
223
#5
148.41.0
144.1145.1
Auto16.7
Teleop108.2
End24.6
Third
2554
#32
115.50.5
116.0115.5
Auto17.5
Teleop84.6
End12.2
blue by 5.7
3142
#24
121.21.1
118.5119.6
Auto16.5
Teleop94.2
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed