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Red257
193135.7
1403128.5
222167.4
Blue407
303175.6
1143128.0
219134.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302327100200400500600257407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#4
167.410.9
123.7134.6
Auto24.0
Teleop134.4
End8.4
blue by 8.2
303
#1
175.68.5
137.4145.9
Auto25.7
Teleop122.8
End28.1
Second
193
#16
135.74.5
123.3127.9
Auto16.5
Teleop105.4
End14.8
red by 1.6
219
#10
134.15.1
120.8126.0
Auto19.3
Teleop104.7
End4.3
Third
1403
#34
128.53.3
119.8123.0
Auto15.9
Teleop102.9
End11.0
red by 0.5
1143
#23
128.07.3
114.8122.1
Auto17.1
Teleop96.0
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned