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Red274
6327130.0
3637150.0
207097.4
Blue453
4361131.2
1626146.6
3142121.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272275150200250300350400450274453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#15
150.07.2
117.6124.7
Auto18.4
Teleop113.2
End20.9
red by 3.5
1626
#12
146.65.5
101.6107.1
Auto19.0
Teleop108.4
End19.0
Second
6327
#19
130.05.6
104.7110.3
Auto15.8
Teleop99.0
End16.5
blue by 1.2
131.28.8
104.1112.9
Auto16.8
Teleop104.4
End10.7
Third
2070
#37
97.43.8
90.894.6
Auto14.4
Teleop78.9
End-0.3
blue by 23.8
3142
#24
121.22.4
108.2110.6
Auto16.5
Teleop94.2
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed