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Red352
1626146.6
4575127.2
1143128.0
Blue230
2554115.5
5310128.2
11120.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302530100200300400500600352230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#12
146.65.8
107.1112.8
Auto19.0
Teleop108.4
End19.0
red by 18.4
128.27.3
95.9103.2
Auto16.2
Teleop101.5
End10.7
Second
1143
#23
128.06.5
122.1128.6
Auto17.1
Teleop96.0
End14.0
red by 7.8
11
#31
120.22.1
124.7122.6
Auto13.4
Teleop92.7
End14.3
Third
4575
#17
127.24.5
121.6126.1
Auto16.2
Teleop100.3
End6.3
red by 11.7
2554
#32
115.57.0
113.1120.1
Auto17.5
Teleop84.6
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed