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Red403
223148.4
1923165.3
1403128.5
Blue255
2016150.5
193135.7
5438105.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317309250350400403255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.30.6
152.1152.7
Auto25.2
Teleop120.2
End18.6
red by 14.8
150.50.5
138.0138.4
Auto20.2
Teleop110.5
End20.3
Second
223
#5
148.40.4
137.3136.9
Auto16.7
Teleop108.2
End24.6
red by 12.7
193
#16
135.71.9
127.9129.8
Auto16.5
Teleop105.4
End14.8
Third
1403
#34
128.51.1
123.0124.2
Auto15.9
Teleop102.9
End11.0
red by 22.9
5438
#25
105.65.1
102.3107.4
Auto17.0
Teleop81.1
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed