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Red351
6016103.5
2577117.2
1228128.2
Blue104
573285.8
207097.4
4361131.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267270150200250300350400351104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1228
#20
128.27.5
108.9116.4
Auto17.0
Teleop100.0
End10.1
blue by 3.0
131.28.0
112.9120.9
Auto16.8
Teleop104.4
End10.7
Second
2577
#18
117.22.6
97.6100.2
Auto13.7
Teleop89.1
End15.9
red by 19.7
2070
#37
97.43.6
94.698.3
Auto14.4
Teleop78.9
End-0.3
Third
6016
#35
103.52.3
96.698.9
Auto13.8
Teleop81.0
End8.3
red by 17.7
5732
#40
85.82.1
89.191.2
Auto12.6
Teleop72.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed