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Red257
555116.3
293128.3
3142121.2
Blue129
1672118.6
6860103.0
41121.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282293150200250350400257129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#21
128.35.8
117.9123.7
Auto14.8
Teleop105.2
End8.1
red by 6.7
41
#29
121.66.8
117.4124.3
Auto17.1
Teleop96.0
End7.7
Second
3142
#24
121.23.8
110.6114.4
Auto16.5
Teleop94.2
End9.5
red by 2.7
1672
#39
118.66.6
105.4112.0
Auto13.3
Teleop95.0
End11.4
Third
555
#27
116.34.4
116.7121.1
Auto13.7
Teleop91.3
End15.3
red by 13.2
6860
#30
103.07.6
93.1100.7
Auto14.4
Teleop84.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed