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Red444
6327130.0
25185.4
4653141.6
Blue235
1989138.0
1089136.5
2600110.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304306200250350400450444235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
185.48.2
139.0147.3
Auto25.5
Teleop144.5
End12.2
red by 47.4
138.05.3
125.6130.9
Auto15.3
Teleop104.0
End16.8
Second
4653
#13
141.63.9
112.0115.9
Auto16.3
Teleop112.9
End13.1
red by 5.1
1089
#11
136.55.1
126.1131.2
Auto15.9
Teleop110.9
End11.3
Third
6327
#19
130.04.8
110.3115.1
Auto15.8
Teleop99.0
End16.5
red by 19.9
2600
#33
110.13.4
109.7113.1
Auto13.3
Teleop89.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed