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Red160
465296.9
3142121.2
2554115.5
Blue371
1228128.2
4361131.2
293128.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251317100200400500160371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3142
#24
121.21.7
114.4116.0
Auto16.5
Teleop94.2
End9.5
blue by 9.9
131.22.5
120.9123.4
Auto16.8
Teleop104.4
End10.7
Second
2554
#32
115.54.4
120.1124.6
Auto17.5
Teleop84.6
End12.2
blue by 12.8
293
#21
128.33.0
123.7126.7
Auto14.8
Teleop105.2
End8.1
Third
4652
#22
96.91.1
98.299.3
Auto12.5
Teleop83.3
End3.3
blue by 31.2
1228
#20
128.26.9
116.4123.3
Auto17.0
Teleop100.0
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed