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Red165
6860103.0
1143128.0
7045102.1
Blue382
2016150.5
303175.6
1089136.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2373700100200300400500600165382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1143
#23
128.05.6
128.6134.3
Auto17.1
Teleop96.0
End14.0
blue by 47.7
303
#1
175.65.1
153.3158.4
Auto25.7
Teleop122.8
End28.1
Second
6860
#30
103.01.7
100.7102.4
Auto14.4
Teleop84.5
End5.1
blue by 47.5
150.50.0
138.4138.5
Auto20.2
Teleop110.5
End20.3
Third
7045
#14
102.13.0
95.398.3
Auto16.2
Teleop81.9
End7.7
blue by 34.4
1089
#11
136.51.1
131.2130.1
Auto15.9
Teleop110.9
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed