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Red257
4575127.2
6203132.8
193135.7
Blue386
219134.1
2577117.2
25185.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299307100200400500600257386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#16
135.70.3
129.8130.1
Auto16.5
Teleop105.4
End14.8
blue by 49.7
25
#2
185.47.6
147.3154.9
Auto25.5
Teleop144.5
End12.2
Second
6203
#26
132.87.6
112.7120.3
Auto13.0
Teleop100.2
End22.4
blue by 1.3
219
#10
134.11.0
131.0132.1
Auto19.3
Teleop104.7
End4.3
Third
4575
#17
127.24.3
126.1130.3
Auto16.2
Teleop100.3
End6.3
red by 10.0
2577
#18
117.23.6
100.2103.7
Auto13.7
Teleop89.1
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed