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Red244
1089136.5
11120.2
4361131.2
Blue139
1403128.5
2554115.5
5438105.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302288150200250350400244139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#11
136.50.6
130.1130.7
Auto15.9
Teleop110.9
End11.3
red by 8.0
1403
#34
128.51.9
126.9128.9
Auto15.9
Teleop102.9
End11.0
Second
131.22.4
123.4125.8
Auto16.8
Teleop104.4
End10.7
red by 15.7
2554
#32
115.51.4
124.6126.0
Auto17.5
Teleop84.6
End12.2
Third
11
#31
120.21.0
121.0120.0
Auto13.4
Teleop92.7
End14.3
red by 14.6
5438
#25
105.62.6
109.9112.5
Auto17.0
Teleop81.1
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed