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Red270
219134.1
3637150.0
6860103.0
Blue207
2495103.8
6016103.5
25185.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290308150200250350400450270207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#15
150.04.9
135.1140.1
Auto18.4
Teleop113.2
End20.9
blue by 35.4
25
#2
185.47.8
154.9162.7
Auto25.5
Teleop144.5
End12.2
Second
219
#10
134.13.3
132.1135.4
Auto19.3
Teleop104.7
End4.3
red by 30.3
2495
#36
103.80.0
106.9107.0
Auto16.1
Teleop81.1
End6.0
Third
6860
#30
103.00.7
102.4101.8
Auto14.4
Teleop84.5
End5.1
blue by 0.4
6016
#35
103.53.0
102.3105.3
Auto13.8
Teleop81.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed